Although US President Donald Trump is in the running for the prestigious 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, international experts believe that his chances of winning the award are very low. They analyze that the main reason for this is the current war with Iran. The winner of this award will be announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee on October 9.

Trump's name has been nominated for the Nobel Peace Prize by the leaders of Cambodia, Israel and Pakistan. However, analysts are not optimistic about his victory. Haakon Gerlöf, interim director of the Oslo Peace Research Institute, said that it is unusual for a head of state to be awarded a prize that promotes peace when he is engaged in a war. He believes that this would go against the original purpose of the Nobel Prize.

Venezuelan opposition leader Maria Corina Machado, who won the Nobel Peace Prize last year, later presented her medal to Trump, which was highly controversial. There were also allegations that Trump lobbied for the award at the time. Experts believe that this development may affect the decision of the Nobel Committee this year. It is expected that the committee will be inclined to choose a person or organization that is not subject to such external pressures and controversies.

If not Trump, then the award could be given to someone like Pope Leo, the International Criminal Court (ICC), the International Court of Justice (ICJ) or the United Nations Special Rapporteur Francesca Albanese, analysts say. Along with these, it is suggested that the committee may also consider humanitarian organizations such as the 'Emergency Response Rooms' in Sudan. It is expected that the committee will make the final decision keeping in mind the challenges facing international laws and institutional values.